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7.2 Analysis of the latest trends of gold and crude oil and today's exclusive operation suggestions and guidance layout
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Official Website】: 7.2 Analysis of the latest market trends of gold and crude oil and today's exclusive operation suggestions guidance layout". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Same market, different guidance, different life. The characteristic of novices is that they do not understand technology and enter the market blindly. They only consider one issue each time they trade: they think that as long as they predict the market's rise and fall, they can make this transaction. This approach of focusing on direction and ignoring position has caused traders to fail. In fact, there is a big difference between the "momentum" and the "direction" that follow the trend, because the direction of the market's movement is in a volatile pattern, and the market trend is often global. What I can do here is to help you control your position reasonably, place orders using support and resistance levels, so that every order has reasonableness and traces to follow. The buying and selling points should not enter the market at will, please be responsible for your own funds. If you really can't grasp the market, you can www.xmh100.come to find me. There will be no loss for you if you have an extra analyst. Always remember one thing: professionals do professional things, and all practical things are only for profits, and cooperation is only for win-win results.
Analysis of the latest gold market trends:
Analysis of gold news: During the US session on Tuesday (July 1), spot gold fluctuated and rose volatility, once rising more than 1% to $3,357.74 per ounce, the highest in the past three trading days, affected by the weakening of the US dollar and the continued warming of uncertainty surrounding the US trade agreement. Market expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut have further heated up, which also provides strong support for gold prices. This phenomenon not only reflects uncertainty in the global economy, but also reveals the unique attractiveness of gold in the current market environment; the rise in gold is due to expectations of US interest rate cuts and the weakening of the US dollar due to market optimistic expectations of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts later this year. At the same time, investors are also closely monitoring the progress of trade negotiations before the July 9 U.S. tariff deadline. Traders have already startedIt will begin to include the possibility of at least two interest rate cuts in the United States in 2025. The upcoming U.S. jobs report this Thursday could also be a catalyst for a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, which is usually good for gold. For weeks, Trump has been considering choosing a new Fed chairman to replace current chairman Jerome Powell. Last Friday, the president said he would not appoint anyone who “does not support lowering interest rates.” On the U.S. data, investors are awaiting ADP Jobs and Nonfarm Jobs reports to be released later this week, which could provide insights into the Fed's future path to rate cuts.
Gold technical analysis: Gold has once again moved slowly and has been rising continuously, basically without a drawdown. After a long period of strength has been accumulated on the sideways, it has also broken the small pressure level near 3321 in one fell swoop. If the European session rises again, it needs to continue to move upward. First look at the suppression near 3347, followed by the watershed 3360 line! Whether the European session can be given a chance depends on the subsequent trend!
In terms of one-hour structure, the phased adjustment of this round of 3460 has not ended, but it is also fast, especially the rapid rebound after the bottoming out of 3260 on Monday. As you have seen in the morning, this wave of rebound is very powerful. And since the bottom of 3260, the current market price is 3345, and the overall range is also very large. This also shows that after the weak adjustment, the greater the rebound, the space for a second or continuous decline will be limited. So I said that this round of adjustments since 3460 is about to end, but there is no definite bottom structure yet! This takes some time and wait!
Then today's idea is very clear. Before we get out of the definite bottom structure in one hour, based on the principle of following the trend, we should wait for the top structure to appear at a small level to remove the space. In terms of the current one-hour pattern, the key point is here 3350. When selling short, you can wait until the price is close to this area, or below this area, when the top structure appears in five minutes, remove the short! Of course, in addition to short selling, you can also go long today. As I said just now, a strong pullback in the decline will limit the short selling space. If the lower drops to the 3320 area within the day or stabilizes above this, you can consider going more! Overall, in terms of today's short-term gold operation ideas, He Bosheng recommends that the pullback be long, and the rebound is supplemented by high altitude. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus on the 3360-3370 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the 3325-3315 line support.
Analysis of the latest trend of crude oil:
Crude oil news analysis: International oil prices encountered downward pressure at the beginning of this week, mainly because the market expects OPEC+ to continue to implement the production increase plan in August, and the United States may raise foreign tariffs, which has caused concerns about global economic growth. During the Asian session on Tuesday, Brent crude oil fell 16 cents, or 0.24%, to $66.58 per barrel. The United States' West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil (WTI) fell 20 cents during the same period, or 0.31%, to $64.91 per barrel. The current crude oil market is in multiple waysIn certainty. OPEC+'s production increase for several consecutive months is gradually eroding market concerns about supply tightness, while high U.S. tariff risks directly hit demand-side expectations. Against the backdrop of the gradual tendency of supply and demand balance to be loose, oil prices have limited room for rebound. Pay close attention to the decisions of the OPEC+ meeting and the direction of US trade policy.
Crude oil technical analysis: From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend fluctuates upward test around 78. The K-line closes to a large physical negative line, and has not yet destroyed the moving average system, and is still supported. The medium-term objective trend is unchanged. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bulls' momentum is weakened, and it is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continues to fluctuate and consolidate within a narrow range, and oil prices fall back to near the lower edge of the range. Pay attention to the support strength of 64. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is at the zero axis position, and the long and short forces are equal. It is expected that the crude oil trend will remain mainly volatile and consolidation pattern during the day. Overall, in terms of today's operational ideas of crude oil, He Bosheng recommends that rebound high altitudes should be the main focus, and the retracement should be the low long as the auxiliary. The short-term focus should be on the 67.5-68.5 line resistance at the top in the short term, and the short-term focus should be on the 63.5-62.5 line support at the bottom.
He Bosheng's message: If you have just entered the market and www.xmh100.come to me, the author will teach you how to learn and operate; if you are already in it, you can www.xmh100.come to me and I will help you, and you will not make you make mistakes again and again; if you have already struggled in this market but were covered in bruises, you might as well www.xmh100.come to me and I will have the confidence to help you regain your confidence. If your position is trapped, I will make a reasonable solution based on your entry point. Because everyone is trapped in different points, the solution method will be different. Some are suitable for stable people and some are suitable for radical people. But the author cannot give all the perfect answers here. He Bosheng suggests that you bring your order. As long as I find He Bosheng, I will use the most appropriate method to solve your problems and assist you in getting out.
This article is exclusively planned by gold crude oil analyst He Bosheng. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Because the online publication is timely and the suggestions in the article are for learning reference only, and the risks of operating based on this are at your own risk. No matter whether the views and strategies of the article are consistent with everyone's opinions, you can www.xmh100.come to me to discuss and learn together! There is nothing difficult in the world, I am afraid of those who are interested. Investment itself carries risks, reminding everyone to identify the authoritative platform and the strong teacher. Fund safety is the first priority, secondly, consider operational risks, and finally how to make a profit.
The above content is all about "【XM official website】: Analysis of the latest market trends of gold and crude oil and today's exclusive operation suggestions and guidance layout". It is carefully www.xmh100.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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