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The overall CPI of the United States remained flat in July, and the US dollar index fell sharply
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The overall CPI of the United States remained flat in July, and the US dollar index fell sharply." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On August 13, in the early trading of Asia on Wednesday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 98.04. On Tuesday, U.S. inflation rose only modestly in July, retaining the possibility of the Fed's interest rate cut next month. The US dollar index fell sharply, returning to near the 98 mark, and finally closed down 0.44% to 98.03; the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.294%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 3.741%. Spot gold fluctuated back and forth around the 3350 mark and finally closed up 0.16%, closing at $3347.98/ounce; spot silver closed up 0.73%, at $37.88/ounce. Crude oil resumed its downward trend, WTI crude oil began to fall during the European session and once fell to an intraday low of $62.44, finally closing down 1.3% to $62.45/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 0.85% to $65.70/barrel.
Analysis of major currencies
Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered at US$98.04. After the release of the U.S. consumer price index data in July, market expectations for the Fed's next policy meeting to cut interest rates, and the dollar weakened. The Fed had room for interest rate cuts in September, given inflation was under control and signs of weak labor markets. The narrowing of yield spread and the resilience of major foreign currencies suggest that if Powell sends signals that he is preparing for further sharp rate cuts at Jackson Hall annual meeting, the U.S. dollar index may face continued selling pressure and downward towards key support levels. Technically, the U.S. dollar index is trying to close below support level 98.00–98.20. If this attempt is successful, the US dollar index will move towards the next supportbit, that is, it is in the range of 97.10–97.30.
Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends
1) Analysis of gold market trends
In the Asian session on Wednesday, gold hovered around 3344.85. Gold rebounded near a multi-day low of $3,330, as markets expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September. Federal Reserve officials, including Ostan Goulsby and Raphael Bostic, are scheduled to speak later on Wednesday.
2) Analysis of crude oil market trends
On Wednesday, crude oil trading was around 62.48.Oil prices fell on Tuesday, as traders awaited U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) inventory reports and began to focus on signs of potential decline in demand at the end of the summer driving season in early September. This trading day will welcome speeches from Richmond Fed Chairman Balkin, Chicago Fed Chairman Goulsby and Atlanta Fed Chairman Bostic. Investors need to pay attention.
Forex market trading reminder on August 13, 2025
①10:00State Information Office held a press conference
②14:00German July CPI final value
③16:00IEA released its monthly crude oil market report
④22:30EIA crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to August 8
⑤22:30EIA Cushing crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to August 8
⑤22:30EIA Cushing crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to August 8
⑥22:30EI in the week from the United States to August 8
⑥22:30EI in the week from the United States to August 8 A Strategic Petroleum Reserve Inventory
⑦ The next day, the Federal Reserve Goulsby delivered a speech on monetary policy
⑧ The next day, the Federal Reserve Bostic delivered a speech on the outlook for the US economy
⑨ The next day, the Bank of Canada announced the minutes of the monetary policy meeting
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