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Gold prices hit nearly $150, what happened?
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Gold price counterattacked nearly 150 US dollars, what happened?". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
Spot gold prices bottomed out during the Asian and European trading hours on Wednesday (October 22) and rebounded. The Asian market once fell to 4,004.46 US dollars per ounce in early trading, and once recovered to around 4,150 US dollars per ounce during the European trading session. It is currently trading around 4,145 US dollars per ounce, an increase of about 0.5%. Precious metals prices edged higher on the back of bargain hunting amid concerns about the impact of the U.S. government shutdown and ongoing jitters about unsustainable global government debt.
Market expectations are growing that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by another 25 basis points at its October policy meeting, which may push up gold prices. Lower interest rates could lower the opportunity cost of holding gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.
On the other hand, trade tensions between the United States and China appear to have eased as the two sides plan to reach a deal before the November 1 tariff deadline. This could weaken safe-haven demand.
Looking ahead, traders will pay close attention to U.S. September consumer price index (CPI) inflation data due later on Friday due to data shortages caused by the government shutdown.
The overall and core CPI are expected to increase by 3.1% year-on-year in September. If U.S. inflation data www.xmh100.comes in higher than expected, it could boost the U.S. dollar (USD) and put pressure on U.S. dollar-denominated www.xmh100.commodity prices in the near term.
Market Dynamics
1. The U.S. government shutdown has entered its fourth week. For the 11th time on Monday, the Senate failed to pass the appropriations bill passed by the House of Representatives to fund the government and end the ongoing shutdown. The vote was 50-43, split largely along party lines.
2. U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on China last week, but softened his stance over the weekend, stated that high tariffs on China are unsustainable and expressed a willingness to improve relations with China.
3. Trump predicted on Tuesday night that a "good deal" would be reached at the upcoming meeting with the Chinese President. But he also acknowledged that the much-anticipated talks may not happen.
4. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese officials to discuss reducing trade tensions before U.S.-China trade negotiations.
5. Trump said on Tuesday night that he did not want to have a "meaningless meeting" with Russian President Vladimir Putin on the war in Ukraine. According to the BBC, the planned face-to-face talks have been shelved.
6. According to the CMEFedWatch tool, traders currently expect that the probability of the U.S. central bank cutting interest rates again next week is close to 99%, and another rate cut may be possible in December.
Gold maintains a positive tone for the long term
The price of gold traded in the positive zone that day. Looking at the daily chart, the constructive outlook for the precious metal remains intact, with prices remaining above the key 100-day exponential moving average. However, with the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) pointing towards the midline, indicating neutral momentum in the short term, further consolidation or temporary selling cannot be ruled out.
On the bullish side, holding above $4,140 (October 15 high) could pave the way for further gains to $4,330 (October 16 high). Moving further, the next area of resistance lies in the $4,370 to $4,380 range, which is the all-time high and upper Bollinger Band.
On the bearish side, the psychological level of $4,000 is a key support level. Further downside support appears at $3,947 (October 10 low), with the next fight at $3,838 (October 3 low). Spot gold prices bottomed out during the Asia-European session on Wednesday (October 22) and rebounded. The Asian market once fell to US$4,004.46 per ounce in early trading, and once recovered to around US$4,150 during the European trading session. It is currently trading around US$4,145 per ounce, an increase of about 0.5%. Precious metals prices edged higher on the back of bargain hunting amid concerns about the impact of the U.S. government shutdown and ongoing jitters about unsustainable global government debt.
Market expectations are growing that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by another 25 basis points at its October policy meeting, which may push up gold prices. Lower interest rates could lower the opportunity cost of holding gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.
On the other hand, trade tensions between the United States and China appear to have eased as the two sides plan to reach a deal before the November 1 tariff deadline. This could weaken safe-haven demand.
Looking ahead, traders will pay close attention to U.S. September consumer price index (CPI) inflation data due later on Friday due to data shortages caused by the government shutdown.
The overall and core CPI are expected to increase by 3.1% year-on-year in September. If U.S. inflation data www.xmh100.comes in higher than expected, it could boost the U.S. dollar (USD),and put pressure on U.S. dollar-denominated www.xmh100.commodity prices in the short term.
Market Dynamics
1. The U.S. government shutdown has entered its fourth week. For the 11th time on Monday, the Senate failed to pass the appropriations bill passed by the House of Representatives to fund the government and end the ongoing shutdown. The vote was 50-43, split largely along party lines.
2. U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on China last week, but softened his stance over the weekend, saying that high tariffs on China were unsustainable and expressing his willingness to improve relations with China.
3. Trump predicted on Tuesday night that a "good deal" would be reached at the upcoming meeting with the Chinese President. But he also acknowledged that the much-anticipated talks may not happen.
4. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese officials to discuss reducing trade tensions before U.S.-China trade negotiations.
5. Trump said on Tuesday night that he did not want to have a "meaningless meeting" with Russian President Vladimir Putin on the war in Ukraine. According to the BBC, the planned face-to-face talks have been shelved.
6. According to the CMEFedWatch tool, traders currently expect that the probability of the U.S. central bank cutting interest rates again next week is close to 99%, and another rate cut may be possible in December.
Gold maintains a positive tone for the long term
The price of gold traded in the positive zone that day. Looking at the daily chart, the constructive outlook for the precious metal remains intact, with prices remaining above the key 100-day exponential moving average. However, with the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) pointing towards the midline, indicating neutral momentum in the short term, further consolidation or temporary selling cannot be ruled out.
On the bullish side, holding above $4,140 (October 15 high) could pave the way for further gains to $4,330 (October 16 high). Moving further, the next area of resistance lies in the $4,370 to $4,380 range, which is the all-time high and upper Bollinger Band.
On the bearish side, the psychological level of $4,000 is a key support level. Further downside support appears at $3,947 (October 10 low), with the next fight at $3,838 (October 3 low).
The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Gold price counterattacked nearly 150 US dollars, what happened?" It was carefully www.xmh100.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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